The Principal Investigators on this research project are Professor Matthew Nunes (University of Bath) and Professor Guy Nason (Imperial College London).
The NETF project primarily addresses the current limitations of NARIMA-type models, focusing on methodological challenges in several directions to (a) more adequately reflect reality of the data set (e.g. non-stationary processes and edge processes, multiple network time series); (b) the deceptively simple-sounding challenge of jointly modelling the first- and second-order structure in network time series, permitting better simultaneous estimation of both, building on the ‘multiscale transforms on a graph’ work; (c) incorporate extra, new and valuable information that previous models fail to account. The impact is explicit and will be progressed in our collaborations with ONS and BT. Amandine Pierrot is the PDRA working on this project, bringing her expertise in industrial forecasting.
We will propose several dynamic network models based on a simple AR(1) network framework. The setting depicts the dynamic changes for network edges e
Learn moreNetworks that arise in fields such as biology or energy present features that challenge established modelling setups since the target function may nat
Learn more